Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 62.854035 71.321427 79.998539 89.521788 99.647495 110.062075 121.553347
2025-11-16 49.965154 62.082252 75.085945 89.939704 106.306728 123.673648 143.380980
2025-11-23 41.341172 55.257804 70.738168 88.946267 109.513625 131.795009 157.537298
2025-11-30 36.040067 51.390134 69.000292 90.217232 114.657794 141.558744 173.056667
2025-12-07 31.968337 48.422950 67.838266 91.726491 119.704613 150.905058 187.834087
2025-12-14 27.359070 44.299331 64.900931 90.804920 121.653144 156.498472 198.172573
2025-12-21 23.028394 40.078868 61.484394 88.995439 122.295969 160.376237 206.366663
2025-12-28 21.590615 39.494024 62.456010 92.390264 129.000055 171.185591 222.440397
2026-01-04 19.676847 38.065779 62.212113 94.172815 133.686389 179.578747 235.679983
2026-01-11 17.096344 35.450255 60.245864 93.654763 135.473187 184.475875 244.789082
2026-01-18 14.835508 33.068362 58.419898 93.176086 137.197664 189.213902 253.642257
2026-01-25 13.140282 31.364836 57.385311 93.613726 139.974022 195.146839 263.852573
2026-02-01 11.186726 29.069477 55.429312 92.794255 141.170587 199.205547 271.906394
2026-02-08 9.726513 27.414072 54.266665 92.943309 143.530435 204.636731 281.573245
2026-02-15 8.142329 25.334435 52.354602 91.982034 144.399800 208.194457 288.955740
2026-02-22 7.283797 24.451995 52.136797 93.267614 148.105973 215.194881 300.446098
2026-03-01 6.567632 23.746279 52.130895 94.806822 152.114675 222.553161 312.361059
2026-03-08 5.407404 21.979691 50.394095 93.867723 152.852610 225.836333 319.330759
2026-03-15 4.230870 19.937212 48.086535 92.024285 152.331042 227.499708 324.292113
2026-03-22 4.097150 20.220755 49.505543 95.482671 158.797835 237.880906 339.862460
2026-03-29 3.704046 19.828890 49.792514 97.298190 163.079814 245.527454 352.103921
2026-04-05 3.001177 18.524382 48.494654 96.770586 164.209041 249.195392 359.469747
2026-04-12 2.396696 17.307929 47.263043 96.283062 165.351841 252.852695 366.802574